HomeMy WebLinkAboutFwd_ NWS Los Angeles_Oxnard Local Fire Weather Conference Call Summary Notes (3).msgCAUTION: This message originated outside of our City of Diamond Bar network.
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Weather update
Diana Manzano-Garcia, MPA
Disaster Management Area Coordinator
Area D Office of Disaster Management
500 W. Bonita Ave., Suite 5
San Dimas, CA 91773
Office: 909-394-3399
Cell: 626-201-0919
dmanzano@areadonline.com
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Begin forwarded message:
From: Robert Munroe - NOAA Federal <robert.munroe@noaa.gov>
Date: November 13, 2022 at 2:12:22 PM PST
To: LOX Operations Staff <lox.operational.staff@noaa.gov>
Subject: NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard Local Fire Weather Conference Call Summary Notes
Greetings.
Here are the notes from today's 1 pm call.
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT WEDNESDAY 7 AM TO 7 PM FOR THE MOUNTAINS AND MOST COASTS/VALLEYS OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES...
....HIGH WIND WATCH IS IN EFFECT 10 PM TUESDAY TO 7 PM WEDNESDAY FOR THE MOUNTAINS AND SOME COASTS/VALLEYS OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES...
THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON
* Winds: NW-NE 8-15 mph. Gusts to 25 mph mountains.
* Moderate Santa Ana with 15-25 mph and gusts to 40 mph possible Tuesday afternoon and evening.
* Humidity: 15-25% away from the coast, lowest coastal valleys.
* May dip to 10-20% Tuesday afternoon to evening.
* Temperatures: Warming trend through the period with mid 60s to mid 70s common by Tuesday.
* Assessment: Elevated to brief critical conditions possible late Tuesday. Fine fuels may dry out ahead of potential first strong Santa Ana of the season
TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY:
* Winds: Los Angeles and Ventura counties: coasts/valleys: N-NE peak wind gusts 40-60 mph, mountains: peak wind gusts 55-75 mph.
* San Luis Obispo and Santa Barbara Counties valleys/foothills: N-NE peak wind gusts 20-40 mph, mountains: peak wind gusts 30-50 mph (including Montecito Hills)
* High confidence on significant winds Tuesday Night through Wednesday.
* Some uncertainty with exact timing remains. Offshore winds should strengthen and become more widespread Tuesday afternoon and evening.
* Northeast gusts 20-30 mph possible for Avalon Harbor.
* Peak LAX-DAG gradient -5 to -7 millibars with a 20 percent chance of peaking closer to -8.
* Peak LAX-BFL gradient -3 to -5 millibars
* Inside slider forced. Moderate to strong upper level support.
* Humidity: Mins 15-30% Tuesday, 8-15% Wednesday.
* Poor overnight recoveries (max 15-30% in windier locations) Tuesday and Wednesday nights.
* Temperatures: Highs 65-75.
* Assessment:
* High confidence in 6+ hours of Red Flag weather conditions over most of LA and Ventura Counties on Wednesday.
* Based on local fire weather experts, fuels remain receptive for rapid fire growth, especially when combined with the exceptionally strong winds anticipated with this event
* Elevated to brief critical fire weather conditions expected to foothills/mountains prone to northeast winds within Santa Barbara and San Luis Obispo Counties
* Wind damage likely, with downed trees and power lines leading to power outages.
OUTLOOK: MODERATE Santa Ana event possible next weekend. No rain expected through at least next week.
Read the full fire weather planning forecast: https://go.usa.gov/xRFM3
Monitor the current conditions with the Fire Weather Snooper at: https://www.weather.gov/lox/fwmV3
Monitor the latest Warnings, Watches, and Advisories here: https://go.usa.gov/xfrA3
Fire One Page is a one-stop-shop for fire weather links: https://www.weather.gov/lox/fire
If you have any questions, please do not respond to this email, but call us at 805-988-6626 (unlisted).
Thank You.
Robbie Munroe
NWS Los Angeles
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