HomeMy WebLinkAboutFwd_ NWS Los Angeles_Oxnard Local Fire Weather Conference Call Summary Notes - November 19_ 2022 (2).msgCAUTION: This message originated outside of our City of Diamond Bar network.
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Weather update
Diana Manzano-Garcia, MPA
Disaster Management Area Coordinator
Area D Office of Disaster Management
500 W. Bonita Ave., Suite 5
San Dimas, CA 91773
Office: 909-394-3399
Cell: 626-201-0919
dmanzano@areadonline.com
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Subject: NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard Local Fire Weather Conference Call Summary Notes - November 19, 2022
Greetings.
Here are the notes from today's 1 pm call.
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM UNTIL 10AM SUNDAY FOR THE MOUNTAINS OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES, SANTA CLARITA VALLEY, SAN FERNANDO VALLEY, AND VENTURA COUNTY VALLEYS...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10PM SATURDAY FOR THE VENTURA COAST AND MALIBU...
...ELEVATED TO BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS PORTIONS OF LA/VENTURA COUNTIES WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...
REMAINDER OF TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY
* Winds:
* LA/Ventura coasts/valleys: N-NE gusts 30-50 mph this afternoon
* Lingering gusts 25-40 mph for wind prone valleys tonight/Sunday morning
* LA/Ventura mountains: N-NE gusts 40-60 mph
* Lingering gusts 30-45 mph tonight/Sunday morning
* Interior SLO/SBA counties + Santa Lucia mountains/foothills: NE gusts 25-35 mph
* LAX-DAG gradient peaked at -7.1 mb this morning, forecasted to be -5 to -6 mb on Sunday morning.
* Upper-level support will weaken tonight into Sunday morning
* Humidity:
* 8-18% through Sunday
* Temperatures: Highs 65-76.
* Assessment:
* 6+ hours of Red Flag weather conditions over western Los Angeles and much of Ventura County through early Sunday
* If fire ignition occurs, there will be an increased risk for rapid wildfire spread
OUTLOOK (MONDAY-FRIDAY):
* Light offshore breezes and dry Monday through Wednesday
* Wind gusts 15-30 mph LA/Ventura county mountains/valleys
* Minimum humidities 7-15%
* Potential for weak-moderate Santa Ana winds Wednesday night into Friday
* Potential for wind gusts 25-40 mph across wind prone LA/Ventura counties
* Warmer event with highs 75-85
* Minimum humidities 7-15%
* Projected LAX-DAG gradient peaking around -4 to -5 mb
* Assessment:
* High confidence in warmer temperatures
* Some uncertainty in strength of offshore winds, continued spread in model solutions
* Elevated to brief critical fire weather conditions likely
* 20% chance of Red Flag conditions across mountains/valleys of LA/Ventura counties
Read the full fire weather planning forecast: https://go.usa.gov/xRFM3
Monitor the current conditions with the Fire Weather Snooper at: https://www.weather.gov/lox/fwmV3
Monitor the latest Warnings, Watches, and Advisories here: https://go.usa.gov/xfrA3
Fire One Page is a one-stop-shop for fire weather links: https://www.weather.gov/lox/fire
If you have any questions, please do not respond to this email, but call us at 805-988-6626 (unlisted).
Thank you and have a great weekend!
--
David Gomberg
Fire Weather Program Manager
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA
david.gomberg@noaa.gov