HomeMy WebLinkAboutFwd_ NWS Los Angeles_Oxnard Local Fire Weather Conference Call Summary Notes - November 17_ 2022 (2).msgCAUTION: This message originated outside of our City of Diamond Bar network.
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Weather update briefing.
Diana Manzano-Garcia, MPA
Disaster Management Area Coordinator
Area D Office of Disaster Management
500 W. Bonita Ave, Suite 5
San Dimas, CA. 91773
Office: 909-394-3399
Cell/Text Message: 626-201-0919
Office: Mon-Thu
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Begin forwarded message:
From: Kristen Stewart - NOAA Federal <kristen.stewart@noaa.gov>
Subject: NWS Los Angeles/Oxnard Local Fire Weather Conference Call Summary Notes - November 17, 2022
Date: November 17, 2022 at 1:46:33 PM PST
To: undisclosed-recipients:;
Greetings.
Here are the notes from today's 1 pm call.
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 1AM SATURDAY THROUGH 10PM SATURDAY FOR THE MOUNTAINS AND SOME COASTS/VALLEYS OF LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES...
TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY
* Winds: Lingering N-NE gusts 20-30 mph mountains and valleys of Los Angeles and Ventura Counties
* Onshore flow at the coast late this afternoon
* Light winds Friday morning with increasing NE winds by the late afternoon (gusts 15-30 mph)
* Humidity: Mins 10-20%
* Poor overnight recoveries (max 15-30% in windier locations)
* Temperatures: Highs 65-78 today, 63-73 Friday
* Assessment:
* Elevated to brief critical fire weather conditions expected across much of Los Angeles and Ventura Counties
FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY
* Winds: Los Angeles and Ventura Counties: coasts/valleys: N-NE gusts 30-45 mph, mountains: gusts 40-55 mph (isolated 60-70 mph windiest peaks/canyons)
* Strongest late Friday night through Saturday morning
* LAX-DAG gradient peaking around -6 to -7 mb
* Moderate upper-level support (weaker and less widespread than last event)
* Humidity: Some uncertainty in model projections of minimums
* Some models project mins 12-25% on Saturday
* Lower resolution models keep humidities lower
* Humidities stay up around 20-40% Friday evening and gradually lower by mid to late Saturday morning
* Temperatures: Highs 60-72.
* Assessment:
* Moderate confidence in 6+ hours of Red Flag weather conditions over western Los Angeles and much of Ventura County on Saturday
* Good confidence in gusty winds
* Question will be if humidities lower to critical levels and if for 6+ hours
* Best chance for 6+ hours of critical conditions in mountains and windier valleys
* Will keep Fire Weather Watch in tact, will make further decisions on Friday
Read the full fire weather planning forecast: https://go.usa.gov/xRFM3
Monitor the current conditions with the Fire Weather Snooper at: https://www.weather.gov/lox/fwmV3
Monitor the latest Warnings, Watches, and Advisories here: https://go.usa.gov/xfrA3
Fire One Page is a one-stop-shop for fire weather links: https://www.weather.gov/lox/fire
If you have any questions, please do not respond to this email, but call us at 805-988-6626 (unlisted).
Thank you and have a great rest of the week!
--
Kristen Stewart
Meteorologist
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard, CA
kristen.stewart@noaa.gov
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Human Resources
City of Ventura
501 Poli Street, Room 210
Ventura, CA 93001
(805) 654-7853
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